Prediction Consensus: 2025 Midyear Update

The Visual Capitalist editorial team aggregates expert predictions for the year ahead in their Prediction Consensus report. Now, halfway through 2025, they're reviewing how those predictions are holding up. Many predictions have already come true, including those related to Trump's relationships and feuds, as well as market volatility. Trump has been pushing for interest rate cuts, which would help with the US short-term debt interest payments. The president's "One Big Beautiful Bill" is estimated to add $2.4 trillion to the federal deficit between 2025 and 2034. Elon Musk's organization, D.O.G.E., failed to make significant spending cuts, leading to Musk's departure from the administration. Musk later criticized Trump's bill on social media, leading to a brief feud. European equities have outperformed expectations, with Germany's DAX 40 index rising 13.2% in the first two months of 2025. The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have had mixed returns, with Apple and Tesla performing poorly due to various factors. Nvidia's growth has normalized, but the company still dominates the chip design market and is expected to benefit from emerging AI trends.