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Gold At $155,000 An Ounce
A recent thought experiment by Zero Hedge discussed how Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent could theoretically "buy back" the $40 trillion U.S. government debt. This would involve revaluing the government's gold reserves from $42.22 per ounce to approximately $155,000 per ounce. The United States holds 261.5 million ounces of gold, officially valued at $11 billion, but its real-world worth exceeds $1 trillion. Revaluing gold could elevate its monetary importance, a long-held argument by gold investors. Treasury has an existing mechanism to issue gold certificates against its reserves to the Federal Reserve, receiving credit in return. However, this system is tied to the outdated $42.22 statutory valuation, requiring a legal change. A moderate revaluation to $5,000 or $10,000 per ounce would increase the gold's value to $1.3 trillion or $2.6 trillion, respectively, creating significant balance-sheet capacity.The "Fringe" version suggests a much higher revaluation, like $100,000 or $155,000 per ounce, to match the national debt. While this would create enormous financing capacity for Treasury, it wouldn't create new wealth or productive capacity. If Treasury used these newly available funds to retire debt, it would replace interest-bearing securities with money and other monetary liabilities in the financial system. This monetary expansion, if not offset by the Federal Reserve, could lead to a weaker dollar, higher inflation, and changes in asset prices and interest rates. The revaluation of gold to $155,000 might signify a dollar that has become extraordinarily cheap relative to gold.Such a drastic measure would dramatically improve government debt statistics and reduce future interest expenses, but the economic cost would remain, just expressed differently. The government setting an official price of $100,000 would not force the global market to agree, but the signal would be profound. It would indicate that the U.S. considers gold important enough to restructure its sovereign balance sheet. This could lead other central banks and institutional investors to question their dollar and Treasury bond holdings versus gold. The current $42.22 valuation is undeniably absurd, and a more realistic valuation is inevitable. The key question is what price Bessent will determine makes sense, acknowledging gold's true value in the fiscal landscape.