GOP strategists fear a challenging scenario unfolding in the Texas Senate primaries, with potential electoral upsets looming. They are concerned about the implications for the general election, given national headwinds facing Republicans. The primary races present uncertainty, with James Talarico, a Democrat, possibly having an edge over Jasmine Crockett. Republicans perceive Talarico as a stronger opponent in November than Crockett. Simultaneously, Ken Paxton, considered a weaker candidate, may outperform John Cornyn in the GOP primary. A Paxton versus Talarico matchup would be highly competitive. National GOP groups have invested heavily to defeat Paxton. They have also subtly supported Crockett, including encouraging her to run. Talarico has secured significant funding and media attention, fueling robust advertising. Polls offer conflicting results, adding to the ambiguity of the situation. Trump's potential endorsement of Cornyn could greatly influence the outcome, especially coupled with Super PAC support. The race's outcomes could significantly impact the balance of power in the Senate.
axios.com
axios.com
