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"I would be worried if I were her": Democrats fear another loss to the left in Colorado House Democrats are anxiously observing a primary race in Colorado where veteran Representative Diana DeGette faces a progressive challenger. This contest could indicate whether recent left-wing victories are a trend or an anomaly for incumbent Democrats. DeGette believes she will win against Melat Kiros, but some within her party express significant concern, with one anonymous Democrat predicting DeGette's loss. DeGette, a long-serving legislator, is being challenged by Kiros, a younger attorney who has criticized DeGette's stance on Israel and corporate funding.Kiros, endorsed by prominent progressives like Bernie Sanders and Ro Khanna, is a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. She gained attention for defending pro-Palestinian advocacy after being fired for her views. DeGette, despite her progressive credentials, is facing accusations of being too aligned with corporate interests and Israel. Both campaigns have attracted substantial outside spending, with groups supporting DeGette and progressive PACs backing Kiros.The advertisements from both sides highlight their respective candidates' progressive records and criticisms of their opponents. DeGette's supporters emphasize her anti-Trump stance, while Kiros's supporters question DeGette's commitment to progressive causes due to her funding. The outcome is being closely watched by both the Democratic establishment and the progressive left. If Kiros prevails, she could join a growing bloc of left-wing representatives who intend to leverage their votes for policy concessions. Kiros has stated she would not vote for any Democrat for leadership who accepts corporate PAC money. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/colorado-degette-melat-kiros-democrats-election axios.com
Democratic states sue over Medicaid work rules Half of the states are suing the Trump administration over its directives for implementing Medicaid work requirements. These states, led by Democrats, argue that the exemptions for sick individuals are too narrow and violate administrative law. They contend the administration's rules will jeopardize care for vulnerable Americans and cause disruption. Twenty-five states and the District of Columbia filed a lawsuit in a federal court in Massachusetts. The lawsuit claims the rule makes it overly difficult for people to qualify for illness-related exemptions. States believe the rule will cause immediate and irreparable harm to their Medicaid programs. This harm includes straining safety net providers and increasing uncompensated emergency care. The suit was filed by 23 Democratic attorneys general and two Democratic governors. The states also allege the CMS rule deviates from previous guidance, violating administrative procedure laws. Medicaid enrollees will soon be required to log 80 hours of work or approved activities monthly to maintain benefits, with implementation starting no later than January 1st. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/states-sue-medicaid-work-rules axios.com
Scoop: Gallego under federal investigation over campaign spending Senator Ruben Gallego is reportedly under federal investigation for suspected campaign finance violations. This probe could impact his future political aspirations, including a potential 2028 presidential run. The Department of Justice's investigation follows the Senate Ethics Committee's closure of its own inquiry into similar allegations. The Ethics Committee found no evidence that Gallego violated Senate rules or applicable law. The DOJ investigation reportedly originated from a whistleblower complaint in Southern California. Allegations suggest Gallego used a PAC to fund personal family trips. Gallego's team has characterized the investigation as a partisan attack and a politically motivated smear campaign. They also noted the timing of the DOJ probe immediately after his clearance by the Senate Ethics Committee. Gallego has denied any wrongdoing and maintains the allegations are politically motivated. The congressional ethics process and federal criminal investigations are distinct. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/gallego-doj-investigation-campaign-finance axios.com
Small towns get burned by fireworks bills America's 250th birthday is creating a disparity in fireworks displays, with larger cities able to afford lavish celebrations while smaller towns struggle. The increased demand and competition for aerial displays have driven up costs significantly. Some municipalities are finding themselves priced out of even modest fireworks shows. Many smaller communities are resorting to alternative dates for their celebrations or relying on public donations to fund their events. Unfortunately, some towns have had to cancel their fireworks altogether due to prohibitive costs. Fireworks display companies are prioritizing larger budget clients, leading to a shortage of availability for smaller towns. This surge in demand extends the busy season for pyrotechnicians, exacerbating staffing shortages and equipment limitations. Drone shows have emerged as an alternative, but they often prove to be equally or more expensive than fireworks. Despite these challenges, many communities still desire the traditional fireworks experience for their celebrations. The core issue remains that while the desire for spectacular celebrations persists, many smaller towns cannot afford the associated expenses. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/usa-250-fireworks-small-town-costs axios.com
2 Supreme Court rulings treat the Fed as an exception The Supreme Court has issued rulings impacting the independence of federal agencies. A 5-4 majority affirmed that Fed Governor Lisa Cook cannot be fired by President Trump for now. This decision strongly defends the Federal Reserve's independence, particularly regarding monetary policy. Chief Justice John Roberts stated that Congress limited presidential removal powers for Fed governors to ensure this independence. He emphasized that any changes to this scheme should come from Congress, not the courts. The ruling also highlighted that Cook was not afforded proper procedural protections before the alleged cause for removal was presented. Separately, the Supreme Court cleared the way for President Trump to fire leaders of the Federal Trade Commission. This decision overturned a nearly century-old precedent shielding officials at most independent agencies from presidential removal. Consequently, the White House will gain more influence over economic rule-making and enforcement in many areas. However, this increased presidential power does not yet extend to setting interest rates. Governor Cook believes her attempted removal was politically motivated, aimed at pressuring her on interest rate decisions. Trump stated the ruling was procedural and pledged to pursue her removal again. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/trump-fed-supreme-court-lisa-cook axios.com
Supreme Court rules Trump can fire independent agency heads, with key exception The Supreme Court has significantly expanded presidential power by allowing President Trump to freely fire officials from independent agencies, including the Federal Trade Commission. This ruling overturns a nearly century-old precedent that protected these officials from removal without cause. Chief Justice John Roberts stated that any remaining parts of the precedent were now overruled. President Trump celebrated the decision as a major victory confirming his removal authority. However, the ruling includes an exception for the Federal Reserve, which the court views differently due to its unique historical tradition. This was further emphasized by a separate decision preventing Trump from immediately firing a Fed governor. The case originated from Trump's firing of FTC appointees, citing policy disagreements. With this decision, regulatory agencies may see decisions made with less internal dissent and checks. Democrats had expressed concerns that granting presidents broad removal powers could lead to excessive control over government and lawmaking. The FTC chair, aligned with Trump's agenda, has also focused on ideological matters alongside regulatory actions. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/trump-ftc-supreme-court-fed-humphreys-executor axios.com
Supreme Court says Trump can't fire Fed governor Lisa Cook The Supreme Court ruled that President Trump could not fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook, significantly limiting presidential influence over the central bank. This decision represents a major setback for Trump's economic agenda. Chief Justice John Roberts emphasized the importance of maintaining stability and avoiding doubt regarding the status of such a crucial financial institution. Trump had attempted to fire Cook last year, citing alleged fraud in mortgage applications predating her Fed governorship. Cook, the first Black woman on the Fed board, was appointed to a 14-year term by former President Biden in 2022. Fed governors serve long terms to shield the institution from political influence, though the Federal Reserve Act allows a president to fire a governor for cause. Trump's attempt to remove Cook preceded a criminal investigation into former Fed chair Jerome Powell, which was later dropped. Powell, still on the Fed Board, expressed concern about the Trump administration potentially reopening a criminal probe over building renovations. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/trump-supreme-court-fed-lisa-cook axios.com
Supreme Court upholds grace period for late-arriving mail-in ballots The Supreme Court has upheld a Mississippi law that allows mailed ballots to be counted if they were postmarked by Election Day and received within five business days. This ruling could have implications for voting in states with similar laws in the upcoming November elections. The Trump administration had backed the law's challengers, arguing that counting ballots received after Election Day undermines the integrity of federal elections. The court's decision was made with a 5-4 ruling, with Justices Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch, and Brett Kavanaugh dissenting. Mississippi Secretary of State Michael Watson defended the state's ballot law, stating that voters need to make their final choice by Election Day. The court's majority opinion, written by Justice Barrett, argued that the electorate's choice is made when voting is complete, not when ballots are received. This decision may have an impact on military and overseas voters, who already face significant barriers to voting. The ruling is part of a series of major election cases being decided by the Supreme Court this term. The court's decisions on election cases may have significant implications for the upcoming elections and President Trump's campaign. The Supreme Court's ruling on the Mississippi law is likely to be closely watched and may influence voting laws in other states. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/supreme-court-mail-in-voting-grace-period axios.com
Supreme Court rejects Trump effort to toss $5 million E. Jean Carroll verdict The Supreme Court on Monday rejected an effort by President Trump to toss a $5 million civil verdict that found he sexually abused and defamed writer E. Jean Carroll. Why it matters: It's another loss for Trump after years of trying to get the verdict thrown out. He has denied wrongdoing and alleged Carroll made false, politically motivated accusations. This is a developing story. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/trump-carroll-supreme-court axios.com
Jonathan Swan's 3 things that every CEO needs to know about Trump The author has never been interested in reading books about Trump, but Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan's book "Regime Change" caught their attention. The book provides a unique insight into Trump's thinking and governing style, and the author asked Swan to share key takeaways for CEOs navigating Trump. According to Swan, Trump is driven by his Great Man theory, where he wants to be seen as a significant figure in world history. To get Trump's attention, one needs to explain how they can help build monuments to him, both literal and figurative. Trump's operation is run by a small group of loyalists, including Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who plot future moves in secret. This group is known to use the Situation Room to hatch domestic plans and limit leaks. The author notes that Trump is playing for history and is likely to seek grand gestures, which could lead to more volatility. Trump may seek a deal with China or expand his territorial ambitions, and CEOs should be prepared for this. The author also mentions that phoning Trump after dark, when he's alone, can be an effective way to get his attention, and some people use this backdoor power to influence him. Overall, the book provides valuable insights into Trump's thinking and behavior, and CEOs can learn from it to navigate their relationships with him. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/jonathan-swan-regime-change-trump-ceo-tips axios.com
The pro-AI movement is splintering The pro-AI movement is divided over national security versus maintaining America's lead over China in AI development. This public debate could significantly influence how the government regulates advanced AI technologies. David Sacks argues that restricting access to leading AI models undermines a pro-innovation strategy previously championed. This comes after the White House requested phased rollouts for new models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Some experts believe these restrictions could harm the U.S. AI market and slow down innovation. Concerns exist that U.S. labs may face governmental speed limits while Chinese competitors do not. Security evaluations indicate Chinese AI systems are already competitive with U.S. models in cybersecurity. Usage of open-source Chinese AI models has notably increased recently. Investors view these government interventions as negative, potentially leading to lower valuations for AI companies. However, some AI labs have requested clearer federal regulations and stronger safeguards. There's a desire for established rules rather than arbitrary access decisions. The dynamic nature of regulation poses challenges for AI labs seeking to innovate and build. Ultimately, access to frontier AI is becoming too critical to be determined by unclear government discretion. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/trump-ai-model-release-delays-tech-backlash axios.com
What to know ahead of the July 1 student loan shakeup Borrowers will face significant changes to student loans starting next month due to President Trump's tax-and-spending law. The changes will affect millions of borrowers who must pick a new repayment plan, with some facing tighter borrowing caps and higher repayments. The SAVE Plan will be discontinued, and borrowers will receive notices to enroll in a different repayment plan within 90 days. If a borrower does not enroll in a new plan, they will be automatically enrolled in the standard repayment plan. The Income-Contingent Repayment and Pay As You Earn plans will be phased out by July 1, 2028, and new borrowers will only have two repayment options: the Tiered Standard Plan and the Repayment Assistance Plan. The Tiered Standard Plan offers fixed monthly payments, while the Repayment Assistance Plan bases monthly payments on income and the number of dependents. Parent PLUS borrowers will be hit hardest, with new loans requiring repayment under the Tiered Standard Plan and no options for an income-driven plan. Graduate students will also see changes to borrowing limits, with strict ceilings for unsubsidized loans and a lifetime cap of $100,000. Borrowers should review their repayment plan options and reconsider their financial strategies, as the best option depends on each borrower's scenario. The changes to student loans may have a significant impact on various industries, including the healthcare industry, as some students may be forced to turn to private loans or reconsider their career choices due to the new borrowing limits. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/student-loan-changes-july-1-what-to-know axios.com
Dems' Tea Party-like rebellion built by a decade of frustration Democratic leaders are growing increasingly concerned about a potential rebellion within their party, similar to the Tea Party movement that emerged in the Republican Party 17 years ago. This concern stems from recent primary victories by Democratic socialists and outsiders who have defeated the party's preferred candidates. The dissatisfaction among Democratic voters has been building for over a decade, with many feeling that the party's leadership is out of touch with their needs and concerns. The rise of left-wing outsiders and populists is rooted in the party's handling of the 2016 presidential election, in which the Democratic National Committee was seen as biased towards Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders. The party's establishment has also been criticized for its role in the 2020 election, in which Joe Biden was seen as the more electable candidate, and for its decision to support Biden for a second term in 2024. The consequences of these decisions have been a growing distrust of the party's leadership and a desire for change among Democratic voters. Left-wing candidates have been winning races across the country, including in New York, California, and Pennsylvania, and are being backed by prominent figures such as Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. These candidates are seen as offering a fresh perspective and a willingness to challenge the party's establishment, which has led to concerns among some Democrats that the party is poised for a Trump-esque figure to take over in 2028. Despite these concerns, not all left-wing members want to create their own Tea Party within the House, with some seeing their group as distinct from the Tea Party and the Freedom Caucus. The upcoming primaries will be closely watched to see how deeply the anti-establishment feelings will go, with several key races in states such as Colorado, Wisconsin, and Michigan. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/29/democrats-rebellion-left-progressives axios.com
Tension with unions shadow Moore's run-up to 2028 Maryland Governor Wes Moore, despite portraying himself as a champion of workers, faces increasing friction with some labor unions. Several union officials report that Moore makes supportive statements but often fails to deliver on promises, and can be combative. This tension is a significant hurdle for Moore as he builds his national profile for a potential 2028 presidential run. The Maryland State and D.C. AFL-CIO, which backed him in 2022, has not endorsed his reelection campaign this year, citing an unreturned endorsement questionnaire. Airport food service workers have launched a "Poor Because of Moore" campaign, criticizing his inaction on their wage demands. Union leaders express frustration with Moore's administration, questioning his commitment to workers' interests and citing administrative inefficiencies. Reaching the governor's team, including his labor relations director, is reportedly difficult for many union officials. However, some unions, like the firefighters and educators, have endorsed Moore, praising his accomplishments. Moore's administration highlights achievements such as early completion of the minimum wage increase and boosted state employee pay. Underlying some conflicts are historical issues, including union endorsements of his primary opponent in 2022. Moore's spokesman asserts his administration has consistently worked to improve wages and worker protections. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/maryland-wes-moore-union-problems-2028 axios.com
Trump sets Sept. 1 start for overhaul of "run down" D.C. golf course President Trump announced that the federal government will start renovating the East Potomac Golf Links in Washington, D.C., on September 1. This renovation is part of a larger initiative by Trump to transform federal projects and public spaces in the capital. Trump described the existing course as old, run-down, and dangerous during a tour with Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and golf architect Tom Fazio. The plan is to create one of the world's greatest golf courses on this site, which will remain accessible to the public. Upon completion, the course is intended to be capable of hosting major golf tournaments like the U.S. Open and Ryder Cup. This rebuild comes after a dispute over the control of D.C.'s public golf courses. Trump officials reached an agreement with the National Links Trust to keep the Potomac and two other D.C. courses open after the administration had terminated the nonprofit's lease. This agreement followed a court ruling that the administration needed to provide advance notice for overhauling the Potomac. The East Potomac course is the newest addition to Trump's efforts to reshape D.C., which also include other high-profile projects. Trump believes the renovated course can restore success and prestige to the city, highlighting his administration's restoration of numerous statues and monuments. Legal and preservation challenges could potentially impact the project's timeline, despite Trump's assertion that work will proceed quickly. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/trump-dc-golf-course-renovation-east-potomac-links axios.com
U.S. and Iran agree to halt strikes and meet this week, U.S. official says The U.S. and Iran have agreed to halt attacks on each other, according to a senior U.S. official. This ceasefire, however, is fragile, with renewed strikes occurring and a threat from President Trump to resume hostilities. The recent fighting stems from differing interpretations of an agreement regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Both sides have stated they will cease "kinetic activity" for the time being. Vessels are expected to move freely while technical negotiations proceed. A meeting is scheduled in Qatar to resolve the dispute. Previously, Iran agreed to facilitate safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the U.S. lifting its blockade of Iranian ports. A hotline between the U.S. military and Iran's IRGC was intended to coordinate traffic in the strait. This hotline was not yet operational as of Saturday. The upcoming talks, originally focused on Iran's nuclear program, have been moved and refocused on the Strait of Hormuz due to the recent escalation. A U.S. technical team lead is anticipated to attend these discussions. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/us-and-iran-agree-to-halt-strikes-and-meet-this-week-us-official-says axios.com
Behind the scenes: How shared fear of Iran led to an Israel-Lebanon deal Four days of intense negotiations between Israel and Lebanon in Washington aimed to weaken Hezbollah and Iran's influence in Lebanon. The Trump administration brokered this agreement, the most significant political accord between the two nations in four decades. However, skepticism about its implementation and fears of a violent Hezbollah response loom large. The deal also seemed to conflict with US-Iran understandings reached in Switzerland, creating a fragile truce. Iran had integrated the Lebanon situation into its negotiations with the US, leading to a ceasefire memorandum of understanding. This US-Iranian agreement, which included Lebanon and other mediators, surprised Israeli and Lebanese officials. They viewed it as potentially strengthening Hezbollah and legitimizing Iranian influence. During talks, the Israeli ambassador strongly criticized the US-Iranian understandings, questioning the US commitment to weakening Iran. Lebanese representatives also sought clarification, as the first day of talks proved difficult. The negotiations proceeded on security and political tracks, focusing on a framework agreement, security annex, and Israeli withdrawal from pilot zones. Progress stalled on Thursday as positions hardened, particularly regarding Israeli withdrawals. Both Israeli and Lebanese leaders requested more time, extending the talks. Secretary of State Rubio and Vice President Vance engaged leaders to emphasize the urgency of a deal. Rubio directly participated in the final push on Friday to resolve remaining issues. The US requested Israeli withdrawals from a village and a commitment to a broader redeployment process. Despite initial Israeli resistance, the US urged them to accept the deal as a significant achievement. A deal was seen as necessary for both parties to control the process and prevent Iranian interference. The agreement immediately heightened internal tensions in Lebanon, with Hezbollah attempting to organize protests. Hezbollah criticized the deal as a surrender of sovereignty and vowed continued resistance. President Trump congratulated the Lebanese President on the deal and pledged US support for its implementation and Lebanese sovereignty. A meeting between Trump and the Lebanese President at the White House is anticipated in July. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/israel-lebanon-deal-iran-hezbollah axios.com
U.S.-Iran ceasefire could go up in flames Tensions between the U.S. and Iran are significantly escalating after another exchange of strikes on Saturday. President Trump has threatened to resume fighting and "complete the job," jeopardizing the fragile ceasefire. Renewed hostilities appear linked to differing interpretations of a recently signed memorandum of understanding (MOU) regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The MOU stipulated Iran's commitment to safe passage and the U.S. lifting its blockade on Iranian ports. During negotiations, the U.S. and Iran agreed to establish a military hotline, which was not yet operational as of Saturday. Iran began demanding passage coordination for ships, leading to escalating actions. On Saturday, U.S. forces struck Iranian targets in retaliation for an earlier attack on a commercial tanker. This followed a previous wave of U.S. strikes within 24 hours. Iran responded with drone and missile attacks on U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain. The IRGC threatened further forceful attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, potentially halting peace talks. A Panama-flagged tanker was attacked by an Iranian drone earlier Saturday, several hours after U.S. strikes. U.S. aircraft targeted Iranian military infrastructure, including surveillance systems and drone storage. Trump confirmed the strikes and issued a stark warning about Iran's potential non-existence if further action is required. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/us-iran-ceasefire-could-go-up-in-flames axios.com
The GOP is souring on Israel Benjamin Netanyahu is experiencing a significant decline in support among Republicans, including influential figures and younger voters. This shift is largely attributed to his actions during the Gaza conflict and his perceived resistance to ending the Iran war, which strained relations with former President Trump. Trump himself expressed strong disapproval of Netanyahu’s approach, warning of a "divorce" between the US and Israel.Vice President JD Vance has also criticized Israeli officials for opposing the Iran deal, indicating a top-level Republican shift. Prominent "America First" figures like Tucker Carlson have amplified anti-Israel sentiment, accusing Netanyahu of manipulating Trump. This has contributed to a growing divide where support for Israel is becoming a litmus test for the online conservative movement.Antisemitic messages, once on the fringe, are now echoing in younger conservative spaces, with figures attacking mainstream conservatives for their perceived loyalty to Israel. This trend has led to a decrease in ratings for staunch Israel defenders. Pew Research Center data shows a substantial unfavorable view of Israel among Republicans, particularly younger ones.A Quinnipiac poll revealed that one in five Republicans believe the US is too supportive of Israel, a threefold increase since the October 7th attacks. The destruction in Gaza after these attacks particularly caused younger Republicans to reevaluate their stance. While the Republican establishment and evangelical leaders largely remain pro-Israel, polling numbers indicate a concerning trend of declining support.The key question moving forward is how much of this diminished standing is tied to Netanyahu personally versus Israel as a nation. Netanyahu faces a challenging election campaign this fall, which could further clarify the extent of this evolving Republican sentiment. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/republican-party-israel-netanyahu-iran-war axios.com
How AI helped the FBI investigate the White House Correspondents' Dinner attack An AI-powered forensic firm, Exterro, announced its platform was used in the FBI's investigation of an attempted assassination at the White House Correspondents Dinner. Law enforcement is increasingly relying on AI to manage and analyze the vast amounts of digital evidence generated in criminal cases. The FBI utilized Exterro's FTK Suite during the critical 48 hours between the incident and the suspect's arrest. While the FBI declined to comment on specific uses, Exterro's platform typically helps investigators examine messages, social media, and other digital trails. The FTK Suite allows authorized users to organize evidence in a single, accessible repository. Its AI assistant can process queries to locate specific items, identify individuals in images, and verify presence at certain times and locations. Exterro assures that its AI models are not trained on customer data, and investigators retain responsibility for evidence review and charging decisions. The platform also includes tools to identify potential deepfakes, addressing concerns about AI-generated or manipulated evidence. As AI becomes a common investigative tool, the focus is shifting from its use to validating and defending AI-assisted findings in court. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/ai-fbi-whcd-attack-investigation axios.com
Supreme Court's blockbuster week will put Trump's power to the test The Supreme Court's final week promises major rulings impacting presidential power. Three key cases will determine the scope of a president's authority, including defining citizenship and the ability to fire federal officials. President Trump has asserted broad executive powers, but federal courts often limit them. A significant case involves the termination of birthright citizenship. Ending protections for children born in the U.S. could lead to widespread chaos and stateless individuals. The court is also considering whether independent agency commissioners are immune to presidential dismissal. Trump's expansive view of presidential authority is being challenged. The court showed skepticism regarding the dismissal of a Federal Reserve official but seemed more open to removing FTC members. Other critical cases address election law in Mississippi regarding mail-in ballots. The court will also decide on limits for political party spending in coordination with candidates. Decisions on transgender athlete bans in Idaho and West Virginia are pending, potentially impacting Title IX interpretations. Finally, the court is reviewing the constitutionality of geofence warrants in relation to the Fourth Amendment. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/supreme-court-trump-birthright-citizenship axios.com
U.S. launches fresh strikes in retaliation for Iranian attack on tanker The U.S. military is striking Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz in response to a drone attack on a commercial tanker. This marks the second wave of U.S. strikes in Iran within 24 hours, escalating tensions in the critical waterway. The increased hostility threatens the fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. The recent incident involved the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps launching a drone at the M/T Kiku tanker, carrying two million barrels of crude oil. This followed earlier U.S. retaliatory strikes for a Thursday attack on another commercial vessel. Iran responded to those initial U.S. strikes by attacking targets in Bahrain early Saturday. U.S. aircraft have targeted Iranian military infrastructure, including surveillance systems, communication hubs, air defense sites, drone storage, and minelayer capabilities. CENTCOM stated that Iran "was given a chance to honor the ceasefire agreement but elected not to." The situation remains dynamic and is a developing story. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/27/us-iran-strikes-strait-hormuz axios.com
Scoop: Powerful Anthropic model, Fable 5, on track to return soon The Trump administration is nearing a decision to allow Anthropic to restore access to its powerful Fable 5 model. This model has been offline for two weeks due to government security concerns. Insiders anticipate the limits could be lifted as soon as this coming week. The blackout of Fable 5 was unprecedented, jarring users and developers alike. This potential restoration signifies a thawing of a four-month dispute between the administration and Anthropic. The Commerce Department has already permitted limited access to Anthropic's cybersecurity model, Mythos 5, for trusted users. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick acknowledged Anthropic's efforts to address risks associated with both models. Users eagerly await Fable 5's return due to its advanced coding and reasoning capabilities. However, the Pentagon and NSA still need to provide their approval, making the outcome uncertain. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Secretary Lutnick have reportedly helped mediate the situation. Anthropic has been praised for its positive engagement with the government, a shift from previous tensions. Fable 5 was initially hailed as the most capable model ever released to the public. Its ability to perform complex coding tasks rapidly impressed users and developers. The model's temporary disappearance caused disruptions for developers and forced companies to seek alternatives. It is unclear if Fable 5 will return with free access or with additional charges. Both Anthropic and OpenAI are advocating for a codified process for reviewing new AI models. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/27/anthropic-fable-5-return-soon axios.com
Trump's "communist" midterm message President Trump is employing a potent message centered on the rise of democratic socialists to counter a bleak midterm outlook for his party. He has warned religious conservatives that "communists" are infiltrating the Democratic Party and aim to dismantle the traditional American way of life. Trump's allies, like Faith & Freedom Coalition chairman Ralph Reed, believe these statements are foundational for the Republican midterm strategy. The president frequently criticized far-left victories during his speech, humorously suggesting he'd be the "greatest communist" by providing free necessities, but warned of economic disaster. Trump views this socialist surge as the most serious threat to the nation's existence, extending beyond New York. Despite Trump's strong rhetoric, Ralph Reed acknowledged a significant enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats by 11 to 14 points. Reed described this gap as a "3-alarm fire" but remained optimistic due to the election being in June. He believes that by highlighting a contrast between common sense and extremism, Republicans can shift these numbers. Ultimately, Republicans understand that a referendum on Trump is detrimental to their cause. Therefore, they aim to frame the election as a clear choice for voters. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/27/trump-midterm-democratic-socialists axios.com
Ukraine's drones take the war to Russia Ukraine's advanced drone warfare is significantly impacting Russia by destroying oil refineries and disrupting battlefield supplies. President Zelensky announced a "40-day influence operation" aimed at forcing Russia into peace negotiations. This followed one of the largest drone attacks, hitting 12 Russian regions and Crimea. Russian authorities claimed to intercept hundreds of drones, though explosions were reported at a chemical plant. A major Moscow refinery, hit a week prior, is expected to be offline until 2027, with other refineries also targeted. Zelensky declared that if Ukraine suffers, Russia will too, citing Putin's refusal to negotiate a dignified peace. Putin acknowledges the damage but believes the strikes won't divide Russian society. Former President Trump, after meeting Zelensky and speaking with Putin, commented that Ukraine is performing well militarily. Trump reportedly expressed frustration with Putin and even hinted at withdrawing from prior understandings regarding Ukraine's Donbas region. U.S.-led Ukraine diplomacy has been hindered by ongoing global conflicts and past negotiation failures. The effectiveness of Zelensky's drone campaign in restarting peace talks remains uncertain, with some analysts suggesting it might harden Russian resolve. The drone strikes are particularly impactful in Russian-occupied Crimea, leading to fuel sales halts and a state of emergency. Ukraine is also employing drones to disrupt Russian troop supply lines along the front lines. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/27/ukraine-drone-strikes-russia-refineries axios.com
U.S. strikes Iranian targets near strait after Iran fires at ships The U.S. military has conducted strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. This action marks the first U.S. strikes against Iran since a ceasefire agreement was recently signed. The retaliatory strikes followed an Iranian drone attack on Thursday that targeted several commercial ships. One of the Iranian drones struck a Singapore-flagged cargo ship, the Ever Lovely, as it was leaving the strait. U.S. Central Command described the U.S. attacks as a "powerful response." President Trump called the Iranian attack a "foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement." U.S. military aircraft targeted Iranian missile and drone storage sites, as well as coastal radar facilities. CENTCOM stated its forces remain vigilant to ensure adherence to the agreement. The situation is developing, and attention is focused on whether Iran will retaliate militarily. This is a breaking news report. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/us-strikes-iran-strait-hormuz-ships axios.com
Scoop: Cori Bush won't commit to voting for Jeffries in 2027 if she wins her seat back Former Rep. Cori Bush is refusing to commit to voting for Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker if she regains her House seat. She joins other progressive candidates who are signaling dissatisfaction with Democratic leadership. Bush stated that the speaker conversation is not her priority, focusing instead on community needs. Previously, she voted for Jeffries on multiple ballots, but now criticizes the administration's impact on communities. She described her past approach as "flipping over table by table" and intends to be even more disruptive if re-elected. Bush was part of the progressive "Squad" and a vocal critic of President Biden and leadership. She lost her seat in 2024 amid campaign finance allegations and opposition spending. Bush is among a group of progressives running strong campaigns against more moderate incumbents. She plans to consult this group when deciding her speaker vote. Some other progressive newcomers are more amenable to supporting Jeffries. Brad Lander, for instance, intends to elect Jeffries while also pushing leadership on policy. Democratic leadership projects confidence that these progressives will ultimately caucus with the party. They assume these members will help advance Democratic priorities. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/cori-bush-hakeem-jeffries-speaker-2027-vote axios.com
GOP's new election model: Colombia Senate Republicans are highlighting Colombia's election system as an example for stricter U.S. voting rules, while criticizing California's process. They lack the votes for President Trump's SAVE Act but are using Colombia to pressure GOP leaders. Colombia's election featured national ID requirements, paper ballots, and limited mail-in voting, which Republicans want the U.S. to adopt. Some senators are considering a hearing comparing California's elections with Colombia's. Senator Ron Johnson mentioned inviting Governor Newsom and Colombian officials before considering a subpoena. Senator Rick Scott praised Colombia's election for its speed and security measures, aligning with Trump's proposals. Republican Senator Bernie Moreno noted that in Colombia, voters always possess the required ID. Trump is pushing for the SAVE America Act, which includes voter ID, proof of citizenship, and mail-in voting restrictions. However, passing such a bill faces significant opposition in the Senate. Despite the lack of a clear path, Trump allies continue advocating for federal voting reforms. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/republicans-voter-id-colombia-california axios.com
Israel and Lebanon sign framework agreement Israel and Lebanon have signed a framework agreement after Washington-mediated negotiations. This diplomatic breakthrough aims to end Israel's occupation of southern Lebanon and restore its territorial integrity. However, its implementation faces challenges due to Hezbollah's armed presence. Israel will maintain its security zone until Hezbollah is disarmed, a condition condemned by a Hezbollah-affiliated lawmaker. The agreement outlines a path for a future peace treaty, including immediate pilot projects for Israeli military withdrawal from occupied areas. The Lebanese army will deploy to these zones, with U.S. military officers verifying the absence of Hezbollah. One pilot project area is north of the Litani River, and the other is to its south. A fragile ceasefire has largely held, though Israel has conducted strikes on perceived immediate threats. This limited Israeli withdrawal would be the first since its occupation expanded during the war with Iran. The Israeli military will retain freedom of action within the security zone. The agreement was signed by ambassadors and a State Department counselor. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called it a good day but acknowledged significant future work. He stated the agreement aims to restore Lebanon's sovereignty, disarm Hezbollah, and allow Israel's return to its borders once the threat is removed. The U.S. will provide humanitarian aid and train Lebanese troops. The Israeli ambassador described the goal as "real peace" and an Iran and Hezbollah-free path to it. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/israel-lebanon-framework-agreement-hezbollah axios.com
Nobody's sure where the Federal Reserve is heading Predicting the Federal Reserve's next move is challenging due to a new chairman, Kevin Warsh, whose decision-making process is unclear. This uncertainty leaves various interest rate policy scenarios possible, ranging from multiple hikes to keeping rates unchanged. Warsh's approach emphasizes action over extensive communication, potentially leading to surprise policy shifts. Inflation has exceeded the Fed's target for five years, with debate ongoing about the causes and duration of current price pressures. It remains unclear how much of the recent inflation is temporary, influenced by factors like tariffs and supply chain disruptions. The Fed also faces a credibility challenge in consistently hitting its 2% inflation target. Warsh offered little guidance in his first press conference, stating decisions would be made at upcoming meetings. Analysts are therefore considering multiple potential paths for interest rate policy. One scenario involves continuing the previous approach to inflation, while another suggests a more aggressive rate hike strategy. Warsh has upcoming opportunities to clarify policy direction, including a European Central Bank conference and testimony before Congress. Understanding the Fed's intentions is no longer straightforward, requiring careful observation of statements and economic data. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/kevin-warsh-fed-rates-guidance axios.com
Three finalists emerge to lead FDA Heidi Overton, a White House aide, oncologist Jeffrey Vacirca, and senior Pentagon health official Stephen Ferrara are the top contenders for the next FDA commissioner. The agency seeks to improve its industry relations and rehire staff after the previous commissioner's departure. Overton serves as deputy director of the White House Domestic Policy Council. Vacirca is the CEO of New York Cancer & Blood Specialists and formerly led the Community Oncology Alliance. Ferrara is currently the Pentagon's principal deputy assistant secretary for health affairs. He previously held chief medical officer roles for the Navy and the CIA. Sources express the most enthusiasm for Ferrara, citing his management experience. Overton, a former mentee of the past commissioner, raises concerns about potential industry and staff disruption. Ferrara and Vacirca are less known but also have management backgrounds. The timing of the decision and announcement is uncertain, and the nominee will face Senate confirmation. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/fda-finalists-white-house-trump-makary axios.com
Behind the Curtain: The cost of blind loyalty Elected Republicans have consistently obeyed President Trump, even when it conflicted with their own judgment. In turn, Trump has grown accustomed to this obedience, demanding more and more from his party. This dynamic has created a crisis as the Republican monopoly on power nears its end. Trump has dominated his party throughout his second term, expecting loyalty from lawmakers he has publicly humiliated. He recently canceled a significant bipartisan housing bill signing to pressure the Senate for a voter ID bill that lacked support. Trump dismissed the housing bill, previously hailed by his own White House, as unimportant. He also attacked Republican senators who voted to limit his war powers against Iran, labeling their actions meaningless. Furthermore, Trump disrupted efforts to renew FISA surveillance powers by demanding the voter ID bill be attached, allowing the authority to lapse instead. He withdrew an intelligence nominee ahead of a confirmation hearing, leaving agencies without a confirmed director. Trump also withheld information on an Iran deal from senators until after its release, leaving them unprepared to defend it. He blindsided senators with an unrelated funding proposal as they worked on immigration legislation, while defending January 6th rioters. Trump is governing with the urgency of a term-limited president, prioritizing executive power over congressional cooperation and midterms. Republican lawmakers face consequences for his maximalist demands, such as potentially eliminating the filibuster. Some Republican senators, whose careers he impacted, are now rebelling against his authority. Senators like Cassidy, Tillis, and Cornyn have publicly opposed Trump's nominees and legislative priorities. Trump's aggressive responses to this dissent may foreshadow his actions as his power diminishes. His presidency could effectively end if Republicans lose control of the Senate after the midterms. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/trump-senate-republicans-blind-loyalty axios.com
Scoop: JD Vance raises $4.2 million in Silicon Valley Vice President JD Vance headlined an RNC fundraiser on Thursday night in Palo Alto, California, at the residence of influential investor and All-In Podcast host Chamath Palihapitiya, raking in $4.2 million for the Republican Party, a source familiar with the dinner tells Axios. Why it matters: Vance, who worked in venture capital before becoming a U.S. senator from Ohio, has always had strong ties to Silicon Valley and the tech world. The dinner was co-hosted by John Underwood of Goldman Sachs. Attendees included Coinbase co-founder and CEO Brian Armstrong, a popular voice of economic freedom on X, and Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan. About two dozen supporters paid $250,000 each. Between the lines: Vance's hat as RNC finance chair is helping him deepen relationships with big GOP donors coast to coast ahead of an expected 2028 run for president. 📱 Watch Dan Primack interview Chamath on this week's episode of "The Axios Show." https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/scoop-jd-vance-raises-42-million-in-silicon-valley axios.com
China's AI progress strains U.S. alliance pitch The United States is actively promoting its AI technology globally while China's affordable and capable AI models gain traction. Chinese AI doesn't need to surpass U.S. leaders to influence the global AI landscape; usefulness and widespread adoption are key. Experts believe an inconsistent U.S. export control strategy and underestimation of China's open-source AI dissemination hinder American AI's global reach. The State Department's Pax Silica initiative aims to build a U.S.-centric AI and chip supply chain, reducing reliance on China. This move follows export controls on Anthropic's advanced models, creating industry uncertainty. Meanwhile, Chinese AI models are closing the capability gap and are significantly cheaper. Some compare China's approach to its "Huawei strategy" but applied to open-source AI, potentially creating widespread reliance on Chinese infrastructure. The U.S. is urging allies to adopt American AI and views "digital sovereignty" as counterproductive. However, many countries are balancing U.S. cooperation with their own pursuit of technological autonomy. Ultimately, the U.S. faces the challenge of not only leading in AI innovation but also persuading the world to build upon American AI. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/china-ai-us-alliance axios.com
Trump hits a wall on voter fraud President Trump's focus on combating alleged voter fraud faces significant obstacles as the midterm elections approach. His executive orders related to election integrity have been blocked by courts, and his legislative proposal, the SAVE America Act, is stalled in the Senate. Senate Republicans are resisting the SAVE America Act, which would mandate proof of U.S. citizenship for voting registration, as they lack sufficient votes for its passage. Trump has threatened to veto all legislation until it is enacted, but this has not swayed Republican senators.A D.C. court halted Trump's expansion of the SAVE database to include voter files for noncitizens, creating a centralized list of citizen data. Additionally, a Boston court ruled against an executive order requiring citizenship verification at registration. The administration plans to appeal these rulings, potentially leading to Supreme Court review, where Trump has had recent successes. These court defeats have intensified the urgency for the SAVE America Act's passage.Trump has publicly emphasized the SAVE Act's importance, labeling its passage a "national emergency" and urging Congress to act swiftly. The White House maintains that Trump's executive orders lawfully protect elections and expresses confidence in prevailing in court. They also highlight his push for legislative measures like uniform photo ID, prohibiting no-excuse mail-in voting, and ending ballot harvesting.However, critics argue that the administration's actions risk disenfranchising voters and compromising privacy in pursuit of preventing fraud, which is statistically rare. Despite this, the executive branch has prioritized investigating voter fraud cases, with ICE and Justice Department actions to access voter rolls. The appointment of an election integrity activist to a Homeland Security position further underscores this focus. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/trump-voter-fraud-courts-congress-save-act axios.com
The AI price shock is here: Apple, Microsoft hike prices The AI boom is driving up prices for everyday electronics, affecting consumers beyond just job concerns. Apple recently increased MacBook and iPad prices by up to 25%, citing soaring memory chip costs due to AI demand. Similarly, Microsoft announced Xbox console price hikes because of a memory squeeze that has more than doubled storage and memory costs. This trend also impacts gaming consoles from Sony and Nintendo. The AI boom is acting as a massive buyer of scarce resources, including chips, electricity, and data-center space. This is an unprecedented challenge for device makers, reversing decades of falling consumer gadget prices. Apple stated they have never seen component prices increase so much, so quickly. Microsoft highlighted that the consumer electronics industry is struggling, especially consoles which are often sold at a loss. Prices for computer software and accessories have jumped significantly, ending an era of consistent price decreases. While job impacts from AI are still developing, financial concerns like higher utility bills and device costs are already emerging. Ultimately, the first tangible economic impact of AI for many Americans is being felt directly in their wallets. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/apple-microsoft-prices-ai axios.com
Europe swelters under record-breaking heat wave Europe is experiencing a deadly heatwave with new June temperature records set in the U.K. and France. Human-caused climate change has made this extreme heat virtually impossible compared to 50 years ago. Heat warnings are widespread across the continent, with the heatwave expected to spread over the next two weeks. Spain has reported at least 212 heat-related deaths, Italy five, and France recorded 40 drowning deaths linked to unsupervised swimming. France also faces a high risk of wildfires due to drought conditions. A significant percentage of European cities are already experiencing or predicted to break their highest heat stress levels. Overnight temperatures are about 100 times more likely now than during the 2003 heatwave, and daytime peaks are about 10 times more likely. France recorded its hottest night and day on record this week, with one town experiencing the hottest day ever recorded in the country. The U.K. also provisionally set new June temperature records for consecutive days. Scientists comparing current weather with cooler climates of the past found this week's heat would have been significantly cooler without climate change. The research confirms heatwaves are becoming hotter, more frequent, and longer-lasting due to climate change. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/europe-heat-wave-deaths-record-temperature-uk-italy-france axios.com
DOJ ordered to release unredacted Epstein files or explain why it can't A federal judge has ordered the Department of Justice to release more unredacted Jeffrey Epstein records or provide a justification by July 2. This ruling could compel the DOJ to disclose previously withheld documents or explain why they remain sealed. U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan set the deadline in response to a lawsuit by media legal analyst Katie Phang. Phang alleges the DOJ violated the Epstein Act by improperly withholding or redacting additional material. She claims the department redacted names in email exchanges concerning a torture video and sexual activity involving minors. Phang also accuses the DOJ of redacting names of co-defendants and co-conspirators in a draft indictment. Furthermore, she alleges the DOJ withheld 36 materials referencing President Trump, including interview notes from a victim who accused Trump of assault. The DOJ argued Phang cannot sue and should have filed a Freedom of Information Act request, but her lawyers stated her FOIA requests were denied. Trump has denied any wrongdoing related to Epstein allegations and faces no associated criminal charges. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/epstein-files-doj-lawsuit-judge-release-unredacted-july-order axios.com
"There's going to be a war": Centrist House Democrats plot Mamdani Caucus counterattack Moderate House Democrats are expressing strong opposition to potential tactics by incoming progressive and democratic socialist lawmakers. These centrists are prepared for significant internal conflict if the progressive wing attempts to leverage the House floor for ideological demands. This situation presents a major challenge for House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who will need to unify a fractured caucus. Centrist Democrats, despite generally aligning with Jeffries, feel compelled to resist being pushed too far left. Recent primaries have seen victories for DSA members and progressives, contributing to a growing left-wing bloc in Congress. This bloc could potentially wield significant power, especially in a narrowly divided House expected in 2027. Progressive lawmakers, like Rep. Delia Ramirez, argue they have a responsibility to represent working people over the establishment. They advocate for a strong progressive voting bloc to fight for their constituents. Moderate Democrats are signaling their readiness to employ similar tactics to the conservative House Freedom Caucus. They intend to withhold their votes unless their own demands are met. Some centrists are even considering using discharge petitions, a procedural move previously utilized by moderate Republicans. They suggest leadership should embrace this approach rather than struggle with the progressive faction. Ultimately, centrist Democrats emphasize that Jeffries must recognize and prioritize the moderate wing as his core base. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/mamdani-left-democrats-nyc-jeffries-centrists axios.com
Trump nominates Chris Klomp for deputy health secretary President Trump nominated Chris Klomp for deputy health secretary, solidifying his position as Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s second-in-command. Klomp's prior role as Medicare director and chief counselor at HHS earned him praise from industry leaders. This nomination contributes to a growing list of Trump's health appointments awaiting Senate confirmation. Trump highlighted Klomp's strong leadership, entrepreneurial success, and trustworthiness in his announcement. He praised Klomp's performance leading Medicare and overseeing daily operations. Trump emphasized Klomp's business experience as beneficial for implementing significant reforms, particularly regarding drug prices. Klomp has been instrumental in filling critical vacancies at HHS, which underwent workforce changes and leadership overhauls. He previously led negotiations with pharmaceutical companies on "most favored nation" drug pricing policies. Before government service, Klomp worked for Bain & Company and Bain Capital. He also served as CEO of a health data firm called Collective Medical. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/trump-klomp-deputy-health-secretary axios.com
Trump throws Mike Johnson a lifeline on the SAVE Act Speaker Mike Johnson secured a key endorsement from President Trump, who urged House Republicans to cease obstructing procedural votes. This intervention came after internal Republican dissent over the SAVE America Act had stalled the House floor agenda. Johnson also successfully transmitted a bipartisan housing bill to the White House, reversing an earlier refusal from Trump to sign it. The SAVE America Act has become a point of contention within the House GOP, with some members frustrated by its impact on their legislative priorities. Conservatives threatened to block rule votes, forcing the cancellation of scheduled business. Several Republican representatives expressed their disapproval of the tactics used to influence the Senate's action on the SAVE Act. They believe the strategy is ineffective and detrimental to the legislative process. The repeated disruptions are reportedly causing fatigue among House members. Some view the conservative bloc's demands as unrealistic given the Senate's position. Holding up legislative rules is seen as preventing constituents from having their voices heard. The ongoing obstruction is hindering the House's ability to complete its work. However, one Republican representative indicated a potential continued roadblock if their amendment efforts are blocked. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/mike-johnson-trump-save-america-act axios.com
Trump administration asks OpenAI to limit next model release over security concerns The Trump administration has asked OpenAI to restrict the initial release of its upcoming model, GPT-5.6, to a select group of government-approved partners due to security concerns. This unprecedented request marks the first time the U.S. government has preemptively sought to limit an American AI company's model launch. The White House, specifically the Office of the National Cyber Director and the Office of Science and Technology Policy, made the request while developing a framework for evaluating new model security. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, while acknowledging the limited rollout plan in an internal memo, stated it's not their preferred long-term approach. OpenAI has been collaborating with the administration on the model release, and the White House has even previewed GPT-5.6's capabilities. Altman discussed the model with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who emphasized government-wide testing and approval. The government's intervention stems from GPT-5.6's "Mythos-like" capability, indicating its high power and the administration's desire for robust safeguards. This move aligns with a recent executive order signed by President Trump, which mandates voluntary testing protocols for AI companies before new model releases. AI labs face a dilemma: competing to release new models while security officials worry about misuse by malicious actors. Altman hopes for a wider release of GPT-5.6 within a "couple of weeks" after the initial restricted rollout. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/trump-administration-openai-gpt-model-release axios.com
Supreme Court's Hawai'i gun law ruling narrows playbook for other states The Supreme Court's decision striking down Hawai'i's gun law highlights the difficulty in crafting modern firearm restrictions under the court's historical tradition standard. The ruling in Wolford v. Lopez determined that private businesses open to the public cannot be mandated as gun-free zones by the state. This shifts the responsibility of keeping guns out of these establishments to business owners. However, states can still ban guns on private property not open to the public, like homes. Some suggest "forced choice" laws requiring businesses to post their gun policies. Hawai'i's law, based on a post-Civil War era statute, was rejected. The 2022 Bruen decision did leave room for objective safety requirements, prompting workarounds. States are now focusing on stricter licensing and specific hardware bans. Examples include enhanced training for concealed carry permits and prospective gun buyers, and assault-style weapon bans. Courts have consistently upheld restrictions in "sensitive" places like schools and government buildings. Some states are expanding the definition of sensitive places to include parks and casinos. Firearm bans in bars and restaurants serving alcohol are also generally upheld due to concerns about violence. Individuals deemed dangerous, such as those with a history of mental health commitment or felony convictions, can be prohibited from acquiring firearms. The reliance on historical tradition for gun laws is seen as a barrier to addressing contemporary issues. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/supreme-court-hawaii-gun-law-ruling-states axios.com
UN pauses Hormuz sailor evacuations after "attack" in strait The UN paused an evacuation plan for over 11,000 sailors in the Strait of Hormuz following an objection from Iran. This pause was prompted by concerns for seafarer safety and an alleged attack on a cargo ship near Oman. The incident highlights the fragility of shipping in this vital waterway, despite a U.S.-Iran truce. The International Maritime Organization had announced the evacuation plan earlier in the week. Iran's Revolutionary Guard Navy stated that the evacuation route was announced without their notification or coordination. They deemed this plan unacceptable and dangerous. The U.K. Maritime Trade Operations reported a vessel was struck by an unknown projectile but there were no immediate casualties. Some tankers reportedly turned back from attempting to exit the Persian Gulf. The IMO estimates 600 ships and 14 sailors have been affected by conflict in the region since February. The evacuation is on hold until safety guarantees can be reconfirmed. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/iran-ship-attacked-strait-hormuz-un-sailors-evacuation-paused axios.com
Supreme Court backs Trump on stricter asylum rules The Supreme Court has cleared the way for the Trump administration to turn away asylum seekers at the southern border. This decision resolves a prolonged legal dispute concerning a Border Patrol practice implemented when processing capacity at ports of entry is limited. Justice Samuel Alito’s majority opinion stated that an alien only "arrives in the United States" upon physically crossing the border, not by merely attempting to set foot in the country from Mexico. The turn-away system, known as metering, originated under the Obama administration in 2016 to manage high traffic at ports of entry, and was later expanded by the Trump administration. Asylum seekers would typically wait in Mexico until port capacity allowed for entry, though those with valid travel documents could enter freely. Although a judge overturned the policy during the Biden administration, it has now been reinstated by the Supreme Court. Lawyers for Al Otro Lado, a non-profit aiding migrants, failed to convince the court that immigration law required agents to process all asylum seekers at ports of entry. During oral arguments, Justice Alito questioned the definition of "arriving in the U.S.," central to asylum claims, using an analogy of someone knocking at a door versus being inside a house. The Department of Homeland Security's General Counsel, James Percival, emphasized that the ruling vindicates the principle that an alien is not "in the United States" until physically present within its borders. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/supreme-court-trump-asylum-border axios.com
China's new open-source model accelerates AI hacking threat GLM-5.2, a new Chinese open-source AI model, is raising concerns due to its advanced hacking capabilities, making sophisticated attacks more accessible and cheaper for malicious actors. It rivals leading U.S. models like Claude Opus 4.8 and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 in agentic capabilities but costs half as much to operate. Security evaluations confirmed its strong performance in cybersecurity investigations and vulnerability discovery benchmarks. Researchers suggest GLM-5.2 might be an illegal distillation of GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.8, explaining its rapid advancement. Unlike commercial models, GLM-5.2 can be downloaded and modified, allowing users to remove safety controls and operate without commercial oversight. Hackers are actively discussing how to jailbreak GLM-5.2 for malicious purposes on Russian-language forums. The model enables personalized attacks, allowing lateral movement and exploit chaining similar to elite human attackers. Attackers can also get the model to explain how to bypass its own limitations. There are fewer mechanisms to stop open-source model misuse compared to commercial platforms like ChatGPT, where providers can detect and ban users. GLM-5.2 removes barriers for hackers, allowing them to build custom malicious tools like phishing email generators and fraud scripts locally. While current AI-generated exploits may not be highly sophisticated, the potential for increased scale with AI and LLMs is growing. Z.ai plans to release an open-source model rivaling Anthropic's Fable by year-end, with other Chinese companies also developing advanced models. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/china-glm-52-open-source-hackers axios.com
Federal judge blocks Trump's mail-in voting order A federal judge has blocked key parts of the Trump administration's executive order aimed at creating a citizenship list of eligible voters and restricting mail-in voting. This decision represents another setback for President Trump's attempts to unilaterally alter American elections, which are fueled by unsubstantiated claims of a rigged election. U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani of Massachusetts specifically barred the administration from compiling lists of confirmed U.S. citizens eligible to vote and from directing the Postmaster General to propose a rule that USPS will not transmit ballots from individuals not on their state list. Talwani, an Obama appointee, stated that Trump's order sought to intimidate local election officials into using flawed citizen lists, an action outside the President's authority. She further mandated a status report within a week to ensure compliance. White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson affirmed the President's commitment to election confidence and expressed confidence in the order's eventual implementation, without confirming an appeal. The postmaster general had previously confirmed that under the proposed rule, USPS would not deliver mail-in ballots in states refusing to provide voter information. Talwani ruled that Congress had not delegated authority to USPS to control mail-in voting or to promulgate related regulations. This ruling follows another federal judge blocking Trump's initial second-term executive order on elections that required proof of citizenship to register to vote. Trump's intense focus on reshaping election laws has been evident, even leading him to halt the signing of a housing bill over an unrelated act. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/trump-mail-in-voting-order-blocked axios.com
Americans are still shopping, despite climbing energy costs Income growth and consumer spending are accelerating, while inflation is also rising, creating a complex situation for the Federal Reserve. This indicates underlying economic resilience but raises questions about the effectiveness of current interest rates in curbing demand. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, saw significant increases, with both headline and core measures reaching three-year highs. Although core PCE's three-month annualized pace has eased slightly, it remains above the Fed's target. Personal income, disposable income, and consumer spending all increased, with inflation-adjusted spending also rising, indicating broad household resilience. Previously, policymakers attributed inflation to temporary supply disruptions, but strong household income and spending suggest broader inflationary pressures. For example, Apple is raising prices due to soaring memory chip costs, driven by AI demand, indicating new sources of inflation beyond energy. Financial markets now anticipate a Fed rate hike, with an 80% chance implied by year-end. However, some argue that by not hiking rates while inflation rises, the Fed may be inadvertently easing monetary policy. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/inflation-consumer-spending-interest-rates axios.com
Supreme Court blocks lawsuits over chemical risks The Supreme Court ruled that consumers cannot use state courts to sue manufacturers for failing to warn about product hazards. This decision is a significant setback for the "Make America Healthy Again" movement, which advocates for stricter regulations on chemicals like glyphosate in the food supply. Thousands of lawsuits from individuals claiming cancer development after pesticide exposure could be blocked. The 7-2 ruling stated that federal pesticide law preempts lawsuits against Monsanto for not including cancer warnings on Roundup labels. Justice Brett Kavanaugh emphasized that federal law mandates Monsanto to use an EPA-approved label, which lacks a cancer warning. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. views glyphosate as a toxin, but the EPA has not classified it as harmful. The case originated from a Missouri court verdict favoring a man who developed non-Hodgkin's lymphoma from Roundup. The Trump administration supported Monsanto in the case, and Monsanto stated the decision benefits science, farmers, and industries needing regulatory clarity. Critics argue this ruling could shield other industries from stronger state consumer protection laws by allowing compliance with federal regulations to override them. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/supreme-court-blocks-lawsuits-chemical-risks axios.com
House Democrats look to bypass Mike Johnson on outlawing Trump weaponization fund House Democrats are initiating a discharge petition to permanently block the Trump administration's $1.8 billion anti-weaponization fund. This move will test if Republican opposition to the fund translates into votes to eliminate it. It will also show if Democrats can effectively use discharge petitions to bypass Republican leadership on contentious Trump-related issues. Eight discharge petitions have already succeeded this session, proving their viability. Though the Justice Department recently scrapped the fund due to bipartisan backlash, critics remain skeptical it is truly gone. House Judiciary Committee Ranking Member Jamie Raskin is spearheading this effort with his NO CARTE BLANCHE Act. This legislation would prohibit taxpayer funds from compensating those in Trump's IRS settlement and block a sweeping immunity deal for Trump and his family. Raskin announced the petition in a House Democrats' whip meeting, emphasizing the Justice Department's refusal to commit to scrapping the fund in writing. He urged colleagues to sign the petition to prevent future slush funds and void the immunity attempt. However, some Republicans may hesitate to sign due to fear of retaliation from Trump, who has a history of punishing dissenters. https://www.axios.com/2026/06/25/weaponization-fund-trump-blanche-raskin-jan-6 axios.com
