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House Republicans on track to lose majority
A nonpartisan election forecaster indicates House Republicans are likely to lose their majority next month. Cook Political Report revised 15 House races in favor of Democrats, signaling a worsening political climate for the GOP. Democrats require a net gain of only three seats to secure the majority. The forecaster now projects Democrats could gain between five and 15 seats, potentially granting them a 220-230 seat majority. Republicans had anticipated redistricting and financial advantages would benefit them. However, new Democratic maps in California and Utah are counteracting Republican redistricting gains. Despite a financial edge for Republicans, Democrats are holding competitive ground. After recent rating changes, Democrats are favored in 208 races, while Republicans are favored in 205. Seventeen Republican-held seats are now considered Toss Ups, compared to five for Democrats. Many competitive races are in districts previously won by President Trump, who is facing dissatisfaction over the economy in those areas. Republican strategists maintain their ground game and financial strength will lead to victory, while Democrats believe Republican policies will cause them to lose the majority.