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In China, the AI Bubble Has Already Burst
Global tech stocks are experiencing instability, but China's tech sector has already suffered a significant crash. This meltdown, with the STAR50 index falling 40% in under four months and erasing $480 billion, is a negative sign for other global markets. It also hinders China's goal of encouraging domestic savings into stocks to fuel the AI boom. The crash has halted a two-year rally driven by stimulus promises and stalled Beijing's aim for a stable, "slow bull" market. China's main blue-chip index has declined about 20% from its peak in June. Fund managers describe the stock market as having evolved into a speculative bull market that is now bursting. High valuations, tax concerns, and potential foreign bans on Chinese data center equipment are cited as possible triggers for the selloff. AI stocks constitute a large portion of China's market capitalization and trading volume, making investors highly vulnerable. The downturn is expected to deter new companies from listing their shares. An overemphasis on technology company weightings in major indexes led to capital distortion and a severe bubble in certain sectors. Ultimately, Chinese chipmakers and AI suppliers are likely to face price wars, as all bubbles inevitably burst.