Axios
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Iran pressed to make nuke concessions as massive post-midterms strikes loom
Regional mediators, led by Qatar and supported by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey, are actively working to broker a diplomatic deal between the U.S. and Iran. The goal is to prevent a potential resumption of military action following the midterm elections in the U.S. There is a strong likelihood of renewed bombing operations against Iran if a last-minute agreement is not reached. These operations are anticipated to involve extensive strikes on Iranian leadership, energy, nuclear, and infrastructure targets over approximately one week.President Trump has confirmed that negotiations with Iran are underway through mediators, though he expressed uncertainty about their success. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also indicated that Iran is giving diplomacy a chance. Qatari negotiator Ali al-Thawadi recently visited Tehran, presenting proposals to bridge the gap between U.S. demands for Iran to relinquish its enriched uranium and Iran's insistence on the lifting of a naval blockade and the release of frozen funds.Mediators have conveyed to Iran that accepting these proposals may be the only way to avert major attacks after the midterms. Saudi, Turkish, and Pakistani officials reinforced this message during their own visit to Tehran. Iran is currently seeking Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's approval for these ideas.One key proposal involves reviving the September 2025 agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which previously allowed UN inspectors to visit Iran's nuclear sites. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi suggested that this agreement could serve as a framework for reinstating inspections of damaged Iranian nuclear facilities. If Iran agrees to allow UN inspectors, it could receive waivers to sell oil and access frozen funds for humanitarian goods.The U.S. is awaiting Iran's response to the proposed deal before providing its final input. President Trump has engaged in discussions about Iran with key officials, emphasizing the U.S.'s strong position and control over the Strait of Hormuz, while noting Iran's collapsing economy. The White House maintains that Iran has been decimated and that the conflict will conclude soon, either through a deal or other means.