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My Thoughts on Tariffs, Economic History, and the Market Decline
The podcast host explains the origin of their business name, Long Term Words, LLC, which reflects their goal of writing about timeless topics that remain relevant for decades. However, in this episode, they will discuss a timely topic: tariffs and their impact on the market. The host believes tariffs are a terrible idea, but respects opposing views and acknowledges that everyone sees the world through their own unique lens. As a free market person, the host understands the need for regulation and tariffs in certain situations, but thinks the current implementation is backwards. The host uses an analogy of refined sugar in nutrition science to explain that tariffs are widely agreed upon as bad for the economy, raising prices for consumers and making manufacturers less competitive. They explain the value of specialization and trade, using the example of hiring a plumber, and how this principle applies to international trade. The host notes that the US has lost manufacturing jobs over the past 50 years, but argues that automation, not outsourcing, is the main culprit. They cite examples of factories increasing production with fewer workers, including a US steel factory and Tesla's automated assembly lines. The host concludes that even if manufacturing capacity returns to the US, it will not bring back the same level of employment as in the past due to automation.