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Preview And Watch Live: Kevin Warsh Speaks At Sintra ECB Forum
Today, a significant policy panel is scheduled at the ECB's annual symposium in Sintra, Portugal. Fed official Warsh will join ECB President Lagarde and Bank of England Governor Bailey. Warsh is expected to adopt a balanced tone, given his previous mixed signals to different factions within the Fed. He is known for avoiding explicit forward guidance to traders seeking policy clues. At his last meeting, the Fed left interest rates unchanged and Warsh commented on the labor market and elevated inflation due to energy shocks. He reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to price stability but declined to provide his own projections for future interest rates. The Fed is also reviewing its balance sheet policies and has shortened its policy statements. Lagarde's recent remarks have influenced market expectations for interest rate hikes, with focus now shifting to September for a potential move. She noted there is no evidence of de-anchored inflation expectations warranting a stronger policy response. The Bank of England is expected to remain on hold as Governor Bailey believes they have time to assess the impact of energy prices. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem stated that rate hike decisions will be condition-dependent, not tied to a specific timeline. He highlighted that core inflation has decreased, but inflation expectations are a key factor. Macklem also cautioned that excessive forward guidance can create confusion.