The US is attempting to re-engage with the Sahelian Alliance (AES), composed of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, offering them a new partnership. The US aims to replace or balance Russia's role as the primary security partner of these nations. This initiative follows a US bombing raid against ISIS in Nigeria, potentially signaling expanded anti-terrorist operations. The AES is militarily allied with Russia, which offers support for security and stability. France, which was expelled from the region, is suspected of supporting terrorist activities against the AES. The US could potentially use Nigerian military pressure, French-backed terrorist advances, and/or US anti-terrorist strikes to coerce the AES. The US's goal is to damage Russia's standing as a major power in the region. The AES members face challenges combating terrorism, and Russia's resources are currently focused elsewhere. These nations may find themselves pressured to accept the US offer due to their circumstances. The most favorable outcome would be progress against terrorists with Russian help, thwarting US and French plans. However, the possibility of the AES capitulating to the US or collapsing remains a concern.
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