Axios
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Trump's "Swiss Army" tools on Iran: Vance and Rubio
President Trump is navigating complex negotiations with Iran, balancing the influence of Vice President Vance, who advocates for a dovish approach, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a hawkish proponent of increased pressure. This internal dynamic is critical for the success of the talks and the stability of global oil markets. Vance, along with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, negotiated a memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at ending a war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Conversely, Rubio, along with intelligence officials, expressed skepticism about the MOU's potential to lead to a comprehensive nuclear deal. Rubio has been engaging with regional leaders to bolster efforts against Iran's destabilizing influence.The negotiations involve trilateral agreements concerning Iran, Israel, and Lebanon. Vance brokered a deal regarding Lebanon, while Rubio championed a peace framework between Israel and Lebanon focusing on preventing Iranian interference. A point of contention arose when Vance's track seemingly granted Iran a role in a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, a group the U.S. designates as a terrorist organization backed by Iran. This created confusion, leading Israeli and Lebanese negotiators to seek clarification on U.S. policy.The initial MOU implies Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon as part of a broader deal, whereas Rubio's subsequent agreement conditions a phased Israeli withdrawal on Hezbollah's disarmament. Hezbollah reacted angrily, declaring Rubio's deal void and insisting on adherence to the Vance-negotiated MOU. U.S. officials, however, assert that the agreements are not contradictory and that both Vance and Rubio are executing President Trump's directives. They portray the situation not as internal conflict, but as different tools within Trump's overall strategy.Insiders believe these negotiations, even with apparent conflicts, serve Trump's goal of pursuing peace. They emphasize that the outcome hinges on Iran's intentions. Officials also downplay any rivalry between Vance and Rubio, stating they are working in unison to achieve the president's objectives. The administration maintains a unified stance behind Trump's efforts to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.