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US Services Surveys Disappoint In April Amid Stench Of Stagflation
Manufacturing surveys showed solid results while US factory orders surged, creating mixed signals for the economy. However, expectations centered on services sector surveys revealing stagflationary trends like weak growth and rising prices. S&P Global's Services PMI saw a small decline in April, indicating marginal activity growth despite lower sales volumes. The ISM Services PMI similarly fell, driven by plummeting new orders but high prices paid. Underlying data revealed dramatically slowing new orders, prices remaining high, and employment contraction for the second month. Chris Williamson from S&P Global indicated the growth pace had slowed since the year’s start, potentially leading to further weakening. The conflict in the Middle East and high prices have impacted consumer-facing services and reduced discretionary spending. Demand for financial services weakened due to market uncertainties and expectations of higher inflation and interest rates. Prices are surging, driven by fuel costs, goods and services, and higher wages, signaling increased consumer price inflation. These rising prices will pressure the Federal Reserve, raising concerns about stagflation.