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What Future Awaits Ukrainian Military-Aged Male Refugees In The EU?
The European Commission proposed removing military-aged Ukrainian men from refugee protection at Ukraine's request. Ukraine has a significant number of draft dodgers and deserters, with a large population of men of conscription age residing in the EU. Forcible conscription in Ukraine is deeply unpopular and faces increasing resistance. Consequently, the EU may deport ineligible Ukrainian men, and Ukraine desires the deportation of all those already within the bloc. Denmark intends to implement this by amending a law to make Ukrainian men aged 23 to 60 ineligible for temporary residence unless exempt from military service. Other nations may follow Denmark's example, as their residence rules were not meant to facilitate avoidance of mobilization. Poland faces a dispute over Ukraine's glorification of historical figures and is considering its stance on Ukrainian refugees. The Polish ruling coalition, while previously favoring Ukrainian refugees for economic reasons, is now signaling openness to deportations. This move could align with Ukraine's desires and potentially assist the liberals in upcoming elections. As Ukraine loses ground, it is expected to increase pressure on the EU, especially Poland, to secure more conscripts. This situation is linked to potential US plans for Ukraine involving a war of attrition.