Why Greenland Is At The Center Of A Shifting Global Order

Donald Trump's interest in Greenland for national security sparked tension with European allies, prompting discussions of a shifting world order at Davos. The US and NATO reached a framework deal, easing immediate tensions, yet Greenland's strategic importance remains heightened. Experts anticipate continued turbulence in the Arctic region, with the US likely retaining dominance despite China's attempts to gain influence. Greenland is crucial for US homeland defense, situated between emerging Arctic shipping lanes and rich in resources. The US National Defense Strategy identifies Greenland, along with the Panama Canal and Gulf of America, as key terrain. The US is reasserting its presence, given Russia and China's strategic interests. China seeks to expand its influence in the Arctic, including through the Polar Silk Road, but faces reputational challenges. The invasion of Ukraine accelerated the shift from the principle of “Arctic exceptionalism” to great power competition. The US will maintain its leadership role in the reorganized world order.