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"Worst Is Yet To Come": Global Smartphone Shipments Crash 22% As Memory Crisis Squeezes Consumers
Global smartphone shipments experienced a significant decline of 22% year over year in the third quarter, reaching 255.3 million units. This downturn is primarily attributed to soaring memory chip costs, which have risen dramatically since last year. These elevated component prices are squeezing manufacturer margins and forcing them to increase handset prices, making smartphones more expensive for consumers. The industry anticipates continued pressure on shipments through 2027, with a potential recovery not expected before 2028. Manufacturers are viewing this cost shock as a potentially permanent shift in industry economics. Chinese brands, heavily reliant on budget models, are particularly affected due to their exposure to lower price points. Conversely, Apple and Samsung are experiencing market share gains, benefiting from their premium product portfolios and supply chain advantages. Consumers are responding to higher prices by extending the lifespan of their current devices. The current situation creates a difficult choice for Chinese brands between protecting profits and maintaining sales volume. Ultimately, vendors with strong scale, secure supply chains, and a focus on premium devices are positioned to gain share in a shrinking market.